Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 17.033332 19.376674 22.030561 25.280457 29.182563 33.754754 39.573429
2025-08-17 13.730418 16.614761 20.162661 24.920643 31.248718 39.545797 51.544107
2025-08-24 11.891201 14.982291 18.999273 24.734300 32.940951 44.643590 63.354946
2025-08-31 10.437845 13.551406 17.768170 24.085886 33.666154 48.300048 73.792978
2025-09-07 9.441369 12.572642 16.965734 23.830387 34.793218 52.630557 86.349194
2025-09-14 8.408526 11.411689 15.738657 22.721517 34.333701 54.207564 94.402961
2025-09-21 7.532653 10.383819 14.583319 21.546334 33.532051 54.967652 101.023554
2025-09-28 6.921552 9.687364 13.849925 20.939060 33.572302 57.206524 111.319219
2025-10-05 7.106855 10.201754 15.031483 23.641912 39.941623 72.993207 158.169254
2025-10-12 6.895304 10.074259 15.163140 24.537300 43.083856 83.043188 196.080304
2025-10-19 6.412969 9.473429 14.451684 23.814858 42.875452 85.618343 214.465255
2025-10-26 6.222967 9.331424 14.499483 24.502786 45.695762 96.015547 262.640024
2025-11-02 5.855369 8.883099 14.003765 24.143111 46.324231 101.519875 299.515587
2025-11-09 5.522462 8.470656 13.538301 23.793288 46.936059 107.259624 342.120853
2025-11-16 5.247664 8.136681 13.182821 23.618314 47.920599 114.370150 396.749555
2025-11-23 4.939783 7.724004 12.648347 23.007524 47.744197 118.058420 439.650477
2025-11-30 4.706955 7.427943 12.306999 22.766780 48.453432 124.764540 505.318880
2025-12-07 4.393891 6.970602 11.627631 21.721408 46.918845 123.764551 527.793481
2025-12-14 4.096852 6.526971 10.947086 20.612545 45.064392 121.258442 540.012711
2025-12-21 3.884483 6.225843 10.523101 20.039137 44.577384 123.464026 586.482339
2025-12-28 4.032490 6.590343 11.425542 22.589160 53.289440 163.260302 986.362607
2026-01-04 3.983798 6.585290 11.589005 23.432761 57.305711 187.224557 1336.836128
2026-01-11 3.789654 6.294120 11.146245 22.752147 56.503801 189.861629 1463.803923